The construction of the Nord Stream Two natural gas pipeline from Russia to Germany under the Baltic Sea is in progress, but the project has never been in so much jeopardy as it is today. Impending legislation in the U.S. Senate may impose sanctions on any company involved in the project, thus forcing Gazprom's Western partners, which are financing half of the pipeline's cost, to rethink their involvement.
The Gazprom-owned pipeline is supported by Russia, Germany and a consortium of five Western European companies. Parallel to the existing Nord Stream One pipeline on the Baltic seabed, Nord Stream Two would double the system's total capacity to 110 billion cubic meters (bcm) annually, all earmarked for direct delivery to Germany. This volume will constitute 70 percent of all Russian gas supplies to the European Union, channeled through a single transit route. The Nord Stream project would bypass a number of key U.S. allies in Central-Eastern Europe, including Ukraine, potentially eliminating Ukraine as a major transit route to Europe.
The Jamestown conference "Nord Stream Two: Evolving Dynamics, Potential Downfall" will provide a detailed and comprehensive analysis of the state of this mega project, the stakes of the main players, the implications for European energy security, new developments in Europe and potential stricter U.S. sanctions on Russia that would affect not only the Nord Stream Two pipeline but also gas supplies to the EU through the new Russian pipeline under the Black Sea, TurkStream.
Opening Remarks
Piotr Wilczek
Piotr Wilczek has been Ambassador of the Republic of Poland to the United States of America and to the Commonwealth of the Bahamas and Permanent Observer to the Organization of American States since November 6, 2016.
Before joining the foreign service he was a tenured full professor at the University of Warsaw. From 2009 to 2016 he was Director of the Collegium "Artes Liberales," an innovative college of liberal arts and sciences at this major Polish research university. From 2002 to 2008 he served as Dean of the School of Languages and Literatures at the University of Silesia in Katowice.
Professor Wilczek has been a coordinator and expert in several international research projects on education and intellectual history, a visiting professor and guest speaker at leading British and American universities (including Oxford, Harvard, Boston College, Rice University and the University of Chicago). He is an experienced administrator, organizer of many international conferences, editor and author of numerous books and journal articles. In 2017 he received an honorary degree of Doctor of Humane Letters from Cleveland State University.
Over the last twenty years he has been very active in establishing international contacts between various institutions and promoting Polish culture abroad. From 2011 to 2016 he was Coordinator for Central and Eastern Europe in Refo500, an international academic and cultural network of institutions involved in early modern religious studies. From 2014 to 2016 he was Representative in Poland of the Kosciuszko Foundation, Inc., a New York-based non-profit organization founded in 1925, promoting closer ties between Poland and the United States through educational, scientific and cultural exchanges.
Agenda
Registration 1:45 –2:00 P.M.
* * *
Welcome 2:00 P.M. Glen E. Howard President, The Jamestown Foundation
Opening Remarks
Ambassador Piotr Wilczek Ambassador of Poland to the United States
* * *
Panel One: Nord Stream Two: Players, Interests and Evolving Strategies 2:20 P.M.–3:45 P.M.
"Russian Mega Pipelines and European Energy Security" Margarita Assenova Senior Fellow, The Jamestown Foundation
"Germany and Nord Stream: Interests, Policy, Politics" Vladimir Socor Senior Fellow, The Jamestown Foundation
"U.S. Policy and European Energy Security" Dr. Benjamin L. Schmitt European Energy Security Advisor Bureau of Energy Resources, U.S. Department of State
"Is Ukrainian Transit Becoming Redundant?" Aliona Osmolovska Naftogaz of Ukraine
* * *
Coffee Break 3:45 – 4:00 PM
* * *
Panel Two: Nord Stream Two and TurkStream Two: Distorting the European Gas Supply Map 4:00 – 5:30 P.M.
"Nord Stream Two Impact on Central Europe" Ambassador Réka Szemerkényi Executive Vice President, Center for European Policy Analysis
"NS2 and TS2: Competition or Opposition to Alternative Gas Supplies " Rauf Mammedov Resident Scholar on Energy Policy, The Middle-East Institute
"Russian Mega-Pipelines and the Kremlin Corruption Model" Ilya Zaslavskiy Head of Research, The Free Russia Foundation
Moderator Mamuka Tsereteli Senior Fellow, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, American Foreign Policy Council
Concluding Remarks 5:30 P.M.
* * * Coffee and light refreshments will be served
Participant Biographies
Margarita Assenova
Margarita Assenova is a senior Fellow at the Jamestown Foundation and a regular contributor to the Jamestown publication Eurasia DailyMonitor on political and energy security developments in the Balkans and Central Asia. Assenova is a recipient of the John KnightProfessional Journalism Fellowship at Stanford University for her reporting on nationalism in the Balkans. Assenova's latest books include Eurasian Disunion: Russia's Vulnerable Flanks (Jamestown Foundation, 2016), a critical study on Russian subversion in Europe, Eurasia and Central Asia, co-authored with Janusz Bugajski, and the edited volume Azerbaijan and the New Energy Geopolitics of Southeastern Europe, Ed. (Jamestown Foundation, 2015).
Rauf Mammadov
Rauf Mammadov is resident scholar on energy policy at The Middle East Institute and a Securing America's Future Energy (S.A.F.E.) Security Fellow. He is a contributor to the Jamestown publication Eurasia Daily Monitor. Mammadov focuses on issues of energy security, global energy industry trends, as well as energy relations in the Middle East, Central Asia and South Caucasus. He has particular focus on the post-Soviet countries of Eurasia. Prior to joining MEI, Mammadov held top administrative positions for the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR) from 2006 to 2016. In 2012, he founded and managed the United States Representative Office of SOCAR in Washington, DC.
Aliona Osmolovska
Aliona Osmolovska is Director of Communications at Naftogaz of Ukraine, where she has worked since 2014. In her role at Naftogaz, Ms. Osmolovska is responsible for developing the company's reputation management and comprehensive communications strategy to support gas market liberalization and wider reform in Ukraine. She works with national and international media, think tanks, and industry experts to advance the strategic agenda of Naftogaz, and engages in proactive communications to boost the company's transparency and gain the trust of stakeholders including Ukraine's civil society, government, MPs, international partners and the investment community. Prior to joining the Naftogaz team, Ms. Osmolovska worked in a variety of roles in the financial services industry for over a decade. She holds a Masters degree in Management and Finance from Otto-von-Guericke University in Germany, and a Bachelors degree from the International Christian University Kyiv.
Dr. Benjamin L. Schmitt
Since 2015, Benjamin has served as a European energy security and science and technology policy advisor for the U.S. Department of State's Bureau of Energy Resources (ENR), where he also has served as the IEEE Department of State Science and Technology Policy Fellow. In his role at the State Department, Schmitt focuses on European energy security and diplomacy engagement across the Eurasian region, to develop and implement novel policy strategy for the advancement of joint U.S. and EU shared priorities at the intersection of energy security, national security, and geopolitics, while directly advising senior officials from the State Department, Department of Energy, and the White House National Security Council, among others across the U.S. Government.
Previously, Schmitt served as a NASA Space Technology Research Fellow while pursuing doctoral physics research at the University of Pennsylvania, focusing on direct imaging of the Cosmic Microwave Background in support of experimental cosmology research goals. Schmitt completed his Ph.D. in Physics and Astronomy in June 2018. While at Penn, Benjamin's graduate research primarily concentrated on the development of novel millimeter-wavelength imaging technologies framed through the design and integration of ACTPol, a polarization-sensitive receiver upgrade for the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, located at over 5,190 meters in elevation on an extinct stratovolcano in Chile's Atacama Desert, where Schmitt helped lead field deployment operations over a several-year period. Benjamin's ACTPol research was also supported by a NSF Graduate Research Fellowship Program award. An accomplished opera singer, Schmitt has also previously served as a U.S. Fulbright Research Fellow to the Max-Planck-Institute for Nuclear Physics in Heidelberg, Germany, and before that served as an X-Ray Diagnostics Researcher focusing on inertial confinement fusion research at the U.S. Department of Energy's Laboratory of Laser Energetics at the University of Rochester, where he received a Bachelor of Science degree in Physics and Astronomy, as well as a Bachelor of Arts degree in Modern German Languages and Cultures, and Mathematics.
Vladimir Socor
Vladimir Socor is a Senior Fellow of the Washington-based Jamestown Foundation and its flagship publication, Eurasia Daily Monitor (1995 to present), where he writes analytical articles on a daily basis. An internationally recognized expert on former Soviet-ruled countries in Eastern Europe, the South Caucasus, and Central Asia, he covers Russian and Western policies there, focusing on energy policies, regional security issues, secessionist conflicts, and NATO policies and programs.
Mr. Socor is a frequent speaker at U.S. and European policy conferences and think-tank institutions. He is a regular guest lecturer at the NATO Defense College and at Harvard University's National Security Program's Black Sea Program (Kennedy School of Government). He is also a frequent contributor to edited volumes. Mr. Socor was previously an analyst with the Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Research Institute (1983–1994). He is a Romanian-born citizen of the United States based in Munich, Germany.
Réka Szemerkényi
Réka Szemerkényi is executive vice president of the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA). From 2015 to 2017, Szemerkényi was Hungary's first woman ambassador to the United States. Before this, she was chief advisor in foreign and security policy to the prime minister of Hungary (2011-15); state secretary for foreign and security policy in the prime minister's office (1998-2002) and senior advisor to the state secretary in the Ministry of Defense (1991-94), at the time of Hungary's efforts to join NATO and later the Kosovo war in the Balkans. Szemerkényi is an elected member of the European Council on Foreign Relations since 2016 and serves as vice president of the Hungarian Atlantic Council.
Mamuka Tsereteli
Dr. Mamuka Tsereteli is a Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute at American Foreign Policy Council. His expertise includes economic and energy security in Europe and Eurasia, transit and transportation between Europe and Asia, and business development in the Black Sea-Caspian region. His teaching experience includes classes on Energy Security for Europe and Eurasia at American University and Energy Markets for Middle East and Central Asia at Johns Hopkins SAIS. Dr. Tsereteli also serves as President of the America-Georgia Business Council. Since the mid-1990s, Dr. Tsereteli was actively involved in promotion and implementation of the Caspian energy transportation projects, including the Southern Gas Corridor.
Ilya Zaslavskiy
Ilya Zaslavskiy is head of research at Washington-based non-profit Free Russia Foundation and head of Underminers.info, a research project exposing kleptocrats from Eurasia in the West. Until December 2018, he was a member of the Advisory Council at the Hudson Institute's Kleptocracy Initiative for which he wrote the report How Non-State Actors Export Kleptocratic Norms to the West. Until August 2018, Ilya was an Academy Associate at Chatham House, where he was a Fellow in 2014. He continues as an energy consultant for Western companies working in developing countries. In December 2018, Council on Foreign Relations published Ilya's report on Advancing Natural Gas Reform in Ukraine.
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